Thursday, September 6, 2018

The Chatter: Week 1 Predictions

Premier Matchup: (c) Redeemed Renegades vs McNabbers

Both teams have top-5 QBs this week. Tony will have the advantage at QB most weeks; except those weeks he chooses to start Roethlisberger over Rodgers, which he does have a tendency of doing. But, Newton isn’t far behind this week with a favorable matchup against the Cowboys at home.
Tony has a slight advantage at RB as well, but it’s also close. Tony’s running backs will be playing each other. Ezekiel Elliott is a top-five RB this week, and most weeks. McCaffery is a fringe RB1 himself this week against the Cowboys. David will start Kareem Hunt and Jordan Howard. Hunt is a RB1 this week against the Chargers; Howard is a solid RB2 for me against the Packers Sunday Night.
Tony has the better receivers this week, but it’s another small advantage. His group is led by top-five WR this week, Davante Adam, and tight end Jimmy Graham. The Packers duo has a good matchup against rival, Da Bears, in Green Bay. Allen Robinson is also in that game, facing the Packers. He’s a WR2. Tony is starting Tyler Lockett over fellow Seahawk, and usual WR1, Doug Baldwin. Baldwin is banged up I guess, and facing the Broncos. We’ll see if that move pays off. David also has two receivers in that Denver-Seattle matchup. Thomas and Sanders face the Seahawks, and I’m sure he’s hoping one of them can score. David will start two more teammates, Devan Funchess and Greg Olsen who have a good matchup against the Cowboys.
I’ll take Tony to take his first step to reclaiming his title this year.

Syracuse Lake Effect vs Newby

David should have a small advantage at QB. Russell Wilson is at Denver, and has to deal with their pass rush, but he’s still a fringe top-five, sure top-ten QB this week. Goff I have as a back-end starter this week, playing in Oakland.
Bryon may have a problem on his hands in Le’Veon Bell. Bell continues to hold-out, and the prospect of him starting this week doesn’t look good. That is a gamechanger in this matchup. I still think Bryon has the best overall RB between these two teams: Joe Mixon. Mixon should be a fringe RB1 against the Colts. Both McCoy and Derrick Henry are solid RB2s this week for David. If Bell is unavailable this week, Bryon may have to turn to Seahawks rookie, Rashaad Penny, and I don’t think he’s ready to contribute. That would give David an advantage at RB. If Bell plays, and I heard somewhere he wii. Bryon will have a sizeable advantage at RB.
David and Bryon each have a top-five receiver this week: Michael Thomas and Antonio Brown, respectively. Brown probably is still the slightly better matchup though. Their other wide receivers are pretty even. Bryon has the better tight end, Travis Kelce. Bryon has a slight advantage here.
David has an advantage at kicker and defense.
It’s looking more and more like Bell won’t play, so I’m inclined to take David.

Zach Attack vs Fantasy Failures

Zach will have a small advantage at QB, even with Wentz out. Cousins is one of the best backup QBs in our league. Aaron has tapped first-year starter, Patrick Mahomes to be his starter. I like Mahomes, but I want to see what he can do away and against a tough division rival.
Aaron will have an advantage at RB all season. This week, he has two top-five RBs. Gurley is no.1, obviously. Kamara will benefit from a matchup with Tampa Bay, and Mark Ingram’s absence. Zach potentially has two RB1s as well. Melvin Gordon and Dalvin Cook could score a lot of points this week, but they’re a cut below Aaron’s pair.
This matchup hosts the two best groups of receivers in our league. I lean slightly Aaron’s way, and that’s mostly due to Gronk’s advantage over Trey Burton. OBJ has to face Jacksonville as well. Though, I do believe Hopkins will have a big game for Zach as a top-three WR against NE. Aaron’s wide receivers are all top-fifteen receivers this week.
This is a huge early matchup in our league. Both teams may come into the week believing they’re the best team. I think Aaron comes away as the leader in a high scoring affair.

Joshua Tree vs St. Louis Cardinals [do not] Rule

This QB matchup should be fairly even. I have Matt Ryan as the worst QB of the two that could start this week. I would not start him against the Super Bowl winners. Andy’s Alex Smith and Jeff’s Marcus Mariota are fairly evenly matched though. I would lean slightly to Smith.
Both of Andy’s RBs are going thursday night. Devonta Freeman is a fringe RB1 at best against the Eagles, and more likely a mid-high RB2. Ajayi I have as a solid RB2 as well. Jeff meanwhile has the best RB in the matchup, Leonard Fournette; he’s a rock solid RB1. However, he may struggle choosing a viable second running back. Sony Michel is expected to miss this week. Tevin Coleman has a tough matchup, the Eagles, and there’s Freeman. Right now, Jeff is going all in on Nyheim Hines. Advantage goes to Andy. Things have changed. Jeff picked up James Conner, and Le’Veon Bell still hasn’t reported. I’m swinging Jeff’s direction at running back, assuming he starts Conner. Wait, Coleman plays in a few hours, and Jeff is still starting him; I doubt he’ll flip it before the game starts. Sigh. Back to Andy.
Andy as better receivers, and it’s not close. It will be interesting to see Ridley go head-to-head with Julio tonight though. Actually, there a lot of interesting Falcons in this game. Andy has the superior RB and WR: Freeman and Julio, while Jeff has a RB and WR as well, just the inferior two: Coleman and Ridley. Andy also has Atlanta’s TE.
I have Andy taking this one. Conner could make things interesting if Jeff starts him, but I still think Andy has a much more balanced team.
In the Pits vs Old School

Gary has his choice of top-five starters at QB. Either will have a good advantage over Philip Rivers. Rivers is a Top-12 QB this week though; he’s home against the Chiefs. I expect that to be a competitive, and likely high scoring game.
The greatest advantage in this matchup is held by me at RB. I have the two best running backs between Gary and I. David Johnson is back [along with my championship aspirations], and is a top-three RB this week. Alex Collins should be a solid to high end RB2 against the Bills. Gary meanwhile, has some options at RB. He’ll start Royce Freeman, who I have a few spots below Collins. Then he’ll start either Lamar Miller or Peyton Barber, likely Miller. Miller’s a back end RB2 this week.
My wide receivers are better, but they have tough matchups. The most productive receiver might be tight end, Zach Ertz, who plays tonight. Gary has a bunch of big-play players: Hill, JuJu, and Stills, and is always dangerous. Our receivers are even this week, but Gary’s have more potential.
This one is close. I think my RBs will prevail over Gary’s QB

The C’s vs Show Your Horns

I don’t mean to positively reinforce Jared’s first round selection, but I think Stafford is the best QB in this matchup. I like him at home against the Jets to be a solid QB1. Brees also has a good matchup at home against Tampa Bay. Luck should be a third QB1 in this matchup but I have him a little behind Stafford and Brees.
Saquon Barkley is the best RB in this matchup. He faces Jacksonville, but should still be a fringe RB1 in his first career game. Jason will also likely start Carlos Hyde against the Steelers, rather than root for Alfred Morris against his beloved Vikings. Either would be a reach as a second RB this week. Jared’s best running back will be Marshawn Lynch, who has a tough one against the Rams. He’s a fringe RB2. Bilal Powell will be the worst RB starting this week. I take that back, Jeff may still start Nyheim Hines.
I think Jason has better receivers. It will be interesting with three Lions receivers going: Jones and Tate for Jason, Golladay for Jared. Crabtree is a wildcard, as he is always a threat to score, and we’ll see how quickly Doyle reconnects with Luck.
I’ll take Jason.

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