ACC BASKETBALL PREVIEW
THE COLLEGE BASKETBALL SEASON IS FINALLY UPON US! With it comes months of exhilarating entertainment. Virginia has dominated the ACC
for the past two seasons. However, that has not translated into
postseason success. Duke, on the other hand, is the NCAA's defending
champion, winning the title last season led by a trio of dominating
freshman. Unfortunately for Duke, those three freshman left for the
NBA, and they now have to retool. There are teams looking to spring
to the top of the league after mild success last season: Miami. Teams
trying to return to the top of the conference after a disappointing
season: North Carolina. Teams trying to patch their rosters after
losing important pieces: Notre Dame and Louisville. Teams that experienced a rare mediocre season last season, and will try to return to the NCAA tournament: Syracuse, Pittsburgh, and North Carolina State? Who will survive
the gauntlet of the regular, and ACC season with the best chance at
postseason glory? The following is an in depth look at each ACC team,
examining each position, and their potential outlook this season.
Rank.
School. Proj. Conference Record. (Last Year's Conference Record)
Tier 5: The
Cellar
Frontcourt:
7'1”
senior, Dennis Clifford, received
the most minutes, 25.3, last season of any BC returning player. He
will look to improve upon his 6.9 scoring average this year. He is
the team's returning leader in rebounds, and will also lead the team
on defense, in the post. It is imperative that he stays out of foul
trouble. He fouled out on six occasions last season. Boston College
will often employ a four-guard lineup but, Clifford will be spelled
by Idy Diallo. He is
a big-bodied center, who missed his freshman season, a year ago, with
an injury. Diallo may be leaned on at times if Clifford gets in foul
trouble. J.C. Reyes is
a 6'9 3* freshman. He gives the Eagles some more size, and could
carve out 10 minutes a game for rebounding purposes.
Backcourt:
Boston
College graduated the four guards/wing players who played the most
minutes last season. There are huge shoes to fill in the backcourt.
None bigger, than those of Olivier Hanlan. Hanlan scored 19.5
points/game last season and added 4.2 assists/game.
After
Clifford, the leading returning player in minutes is Garland
Owens. He played a whopping
16.6
minutes/game a season ago. The 6'5 junior wing will likely be called
upon to start this season. He was not an offensive threat a season
ago. He averaged only 3.4 points/game, and scored only .2
points/minute he was on the court (for reference, Olivier Hanlan
scored .52 points/minute). Owens is not a threat from outside. He
shot just 23.1% from 3pt range last season. Despite his low 3pt %, he
shot a stellar (for a wing) 51.0% from the field. Owens has a big
opportunity to breakout this season, especially as one of the few
veteran players on a young team.
Boston
College's starting shooting guard this season will be Eli
Carter.
He is a graduate transfer player from Florida. He is the most likely
player to lead Boston College in points this season. Last season with
Florida, he scored 8.8 points/game playing 24.3 minutes a game; he
also added 2 assists a game. Carter was not great from outside last
season, shooting 30.5% from three. This certainly was not for a lack
of trying though as he took five 3-pointers/game. Carter will be
given every chance to improve those numbers this season though; he
will lead the Eagles in minutes played, assuming his past injuries
are behind him. Darryl
Hicks is
technically now a sophomore (according to Boston College's website).
He was originally apart of their 2013 freshman class, but tore his
ACL back in June of 2013, and has yet to play for the Eagles. He
could potentially start at shooting guard, and move Carter to point
will he would be a scoring combo guard. The wing players will be
spelled by a pair of 3* freshman, AJ
Turner,
6'6, and Matt
Milon,
6'4. They will be looked upon to contribute right away.
Boston
College will hand the ball, and likely the starting PG position to
another 3* freshman, 6'3”, Jerome
Robinson.
He has a couple of skills that should help him in his starting role
right way. He has a good head for the game and decision making for a
player his age, and he can knock down a 3pt shot. Robinson's play is
likely going to dictate how Boston College does this season, as a lot
of responsibility rests on his shoulders. Eli Carter is likely the
backup PG, but BC would prefer to keep him off the ball. So, there
isn't really anyone to take Robinson's place if he struggles.
Newcomers:
Due
to the many losses BC suffered from last season, they have a large
freshman class. Jerome Robinson will be counted on to start right
away. AJ Turner, JC Reyes, and either Matt Milon or Sammy
Barnes-Thompkins
will be rotation players from the get go. Darryl Hicks is a big
x-factor for the Eagles. He has been with the program for a couple
years, despite not playing, and could come in and start, which would
take some pressure off the true freshman, especially Robinson, but
there is very little information out there on Hicks, and his
potential spot on this team.
Outlook:
Boston
College lost the four players who received the most minutes during
the 2014-15 season. Most significantly, they lost star Olivier
Hanlan. There is no one near his talent level on this team. Robinson
is an interesting addition, and could grow into a key player, but too
much is going to be asked of him this year. This is practically a
brand new Boston College team from the one that tipped off a year
ago. This team will struggle to find an identity, and develop
chemistry amongst both the new players, and those who's roles are
growing. Boston College finished ACC play with only a 4-14 record a
season ago, and that was with Olivier Hanlan. This team will find
itself at the bottom of the ACC. Although, there is hope for the
future as this big freshman class grows together.
Tier
4: Definitively Bottom Half
14. Clemson
4-14 (8-10)
Frontcourt:
Clemson's
frontcourt will be centered by 6'10 Senior Landry
Nnoko.
Nnoko averaged 24.3 minutes/game last season. He averaged 7.6
points/game, 5.4 rebounds/game. His greatest contribution is on
defense; he averaged 2 shot blocks/game last season. Nnoko will have
to avoid foul trouble though as he fouled out five times last season,
and averaged 3.2 fouls/game. Nnoko will be backed up by junior Sidy
Djitte
and JUCO transfer Legend
Robertin.
Clemson's
best player is 6'7 power forward Jaron
Blossomgame.
Last season his game
really blossomed,
improving his points per game from 4.9 as a Freshman to 13.1 as a
Sophomore. Blossomgale also averaged 8.2 rebounds per game last
season. He should be one of the ACC's best forwards and is key to
Clemson's success.
Donte
Gratham
will be the team's starting small forward. He was a 4* recruit in
2014, and has good size, 6'8, for the position. Last season Grahtam
averaged 8.8 points and 4.6 rebounds as a freshman, playing nearly 30
minutes/game. He will have to improve upon those numbers this year as
he will be relied on more. It is important that Gratham improves his
shooting; he shot only 27.9% from three and 37.2% overall.
Clemson
has little depth at either forward position. 6'8 senior Josh
Smith is
the only other forward. He
averaged
2.4 points, playing 9.5 minutes/game. Meanwhile,
Austin Ajukwa,
a 6'6 Junior swingman will likely see as many minutes playing at the
3 as he will at the 2—Ajukwa is now transferring.
Backcourt:
Clemson
loses their entire starting backcourt from last season. Stepping in
at shooting guard will be Jordan
Roper.
Roper, a 6'0 Senior, played just under 20 minutes a game last season.
He averaged 6.5 points/game, shooting 30.4% from three, and 34%
overall. He will need to take a step forward and improve upon those
numbers this season. Playing behind Roper will be Austin Ajukwa and
Sophomore Gabe
DeVoe.
Ajukwa averaged 3.1 points last season, while DeVoe averaged 2.3.
Two
newcomers with contrasting styles will compete for the starting PG
position. Avry
Holmes
is a 6'2 transfer from San Francisco. Two seasons ago he averaged
12.5 points in 31.7 minutes per game. He will be Clemson's best
shooter. He shot 41.9% from three, and 83.7% from the free throw
line. His ball handling will need to approve though. Holmes' assist
to turnover ratio at San Francisco was 1.5:1.0. Ty
Hudson is
a true freshman who will battle Holmes for minutes. He is the 95th
best freshman according to Scout.com. They describe him as a quick
ball handler, with plus potential on defense. However, he is not a
shooter. It is possible Clemson often plays Holmes along with Hudson,
because Hudson is the team's best ball handler, and Holmes is their
best shooter.
Edit: Just saw that Austin Ajukwa is transferring. That is a huge
blow to a team that was already hurting for depth!
Newcomers:
Point
guards Ty Hudson and Avry Holmes are the two biggest additions. One
of them will start, and the other will be a major contributor. Legend
Robertin provides Clemson with depth in the paint.
Outlook:
Clemson
finished eleventh in the ACC last season, tied with two other teams
at 8-10. However, they lose their entire backcourt from last season.
Jaron Blossomgame is their only proven scorer, and they only have one
guy, Avry Holmes, who is a real threat from 3pt range. Most
importantly, the ACC as a whole has gotten better this season, with
most teams improving upon their squads last year, and Clemson has
gotten a little worse. They do play good defense, and have good
frontcourt size, but ultimately, they find themselves near the bottom
of the league this season.
13. Virginia
Tech 5-13 (2-16)
Frontcourt:
Virginia
Tech is likely to play a three guard lineup this season. At their
forward positions, VT will employ a quantity over quality approach.
Satchell Pierce
received the most minutes last season, among returning frontcourt
players. He played 13.8 minutes last season, averaging 3.2
points/game and 2.4 rebounds/game. He gives the team some height,
he's 7'0, but will not fill the boxscore, even though his minutes
will increase this season. Pierce will split time with 6'11 JUCO
transfer Johnny
Hamilton. Hamilton
averaged nine points, eight rebounds, and four
blocks
per game last season, playing for Jacksonville College. He could end
up wresting most of the minutes away from Pierce at their position.
Virginia
Tech has three candidates for the power forward position. Shane
Henry,
a 6'8 senior,
returns
from last year's squad. He only played 10.3 minutes/game, while also
averaging 2.3 points and 2.7 rebounds. Zach
LeDay
is a junior transfer from South Florida. Two years ago he averaged
3.5 points, 2.6 rebounds, while playing 15 minutes per game. Finally,
Kerry Blackshear
is the freshman option. Scout.com's Rob Harrington describes the 6'8,
4*, youngster as a forward who understands how to play inside with
toughness. He should be an asset to the team on the defensive boards,
and blocking shots. He is also capable of getting out in transition
and scoring. Blackshear could grow into one of the ACC's best power
forwards in future seasons as he adds strength, and should be one of
the team's better assets in the frontcourt this season.
Chris Clarke and Tyrone Outlaw are
the only traditional small forwards on the team. Chris
Clarke is potentially the
team's best freshman—and it's a terrific class. Scout.com lists him
as him at 81st
on their class of 2015 rankings. He is only 6'5, but plays bigger due
to his athleticism and aggressiveness. He should be one of the first
two players off the bench. He will be a high energy player, capable
of playing good defense, and scoring in transition. Scout.com's Rob
Harrington, describes Clarke's jump shooting as a weakness, and
something he will need to improve if he wants to grow offensively.
Tyrone Outlaw is
another JUCO transfer; he averaged 21.8 points a game last season,
and gives the team more depth.
Backcourt:
The
Hokies return three players who averaged 30 or more minutes a game
last season (as
long as you round Justin Bibb's 29.8 min/game and Ahmed Hill's 29.6
min/game up).
They also add a transfer junior who played thirty minutes a game for
Maryland two years ago. Justin
Bibb is
the team's leading scorer among returning players. He averaged 11.4
points a game his freshman season. He is very good from outside,
shooting 41.3% from three. He should lead the team in points this
season. Maryland transfer, Seth
Allen,
should also start. Two seasons ago, he averaged 13.4 points/game,
shooting 38% from three, and adding three assists. He will likely
play shooting guard, though he is capable of spelling at point when
needed. Ahmed Hill
will
compete with Allen for a starting position. Last season, Hill was a
top-100 recruit. He scored 8.7 points/game, shooting 38.6% from
three, although he only shot 39.9% from the field overall. He also
added 3.7 rebounds/game though. He has good size for a shooting
guard, he is 6'4. Boston College can turn to Hill when they want his
size along with Justin Bibb, who is 6'5, and use Allen when they want
better ball handling on the floor.
Jalen
Hudson
will back up the wings, along with the aforementioned Clarke and
Outlaw. Hudson is another big shooting guard at 6'5. He averaged 6.9
points per game in only 16.7 minutes. Hudson is not a great perimeter
shooter, 3pt percentage was just 28.3%, however his field goal
percentage was 47.9% overall.
Devin Wilson led the team in minutes last season, as the
team's starting point guard. He is pass first player; he averaged 4.2
assists/game, with an assist to turnover ratio of 2:0. Wilson only
averaged 6.5 points/game, and shot just 29.6% from three. Devin
Wilson gives the team a consistent, veteran ball handler. Behind
Wilson, is 4* freshman, #63 in the nation according to Scout.com,
Justin Robinson. Robinson is another true PG, with an advanced
IQ for a freshman. He, like Wilson is not a great three point
shooter. However, he gives the team another reliable ball handler,
and has some nice upside.
Newcomers:
Virginia
Tech added five players last season, and they add another five this
season. The three freshmen, Kerry Blackshear, Justin Robinson, and
Chris Clarke could all be stars in the next couple years for the
Hokies, and will be important role players this year. The JUCO
additions, Tyrone Outlaw and Johnny Hamilton provide depth, and
Hamilton could end up with the lion's share of minutes at center.
Outlook:
Virginia
Tech finished last in the ACC last season with a 2-16 record. They
will improve upon that mark this season. However, it will probably be
another season before they can make a push back towards the middle of
the conference.. Virginia Tech's accumulated a good, young roster
after two successful recruiting classes. They will be an intriguing
team, and will likely surprise some good teams this year. However,
they could really struggle in the frontcourt, and need to improve
there.
12. Georgia
Tech 5-13 (3-15)
Frontcourt:
The Yellow Jackets' best player is
6'5 small forward, Sr. Marcus Georges-Hunt.
Last season Marcus led the team in points scored, averaging 13.6. He
also chipped in 5.5 rebounds per game. Marcus did not shoot well from
the three point arc, shooting 28.8% from there. However, he did shoot
in the mid to low 30s his first two seasons. Despite his three point
shooting percentage dipping, Georges-Hunt's field goal percentage
grew to a career high 43.1%. Georges-Hunt is the star of this team,
even though he is a little undersized at small forward.
Charles Mitchell
is also a lock to start in the frontcourt. The 6'8, 269 lb Sr. is a
traditional bang in the low post power forward. He averaged 9.8
points and 7.0 rebounds per game a season ago, those numbers are very
impressive considering he averaged only 22.1 minutes per game.
Mitchell's numbers should rise this season as he takes a larger,
starring role on this team in DeMarco Cox's absence. It also helps
that he shoots 52.1% from the field. Mitchell is an absolute beast
getting offensive rebounds. No returning ACC player grabbed more
offensive boards than Mitchell.
Starting alongside Mitchell will
likely be Alabama transfer, senior Nick Jacobs.
Jacobs, like Mitchell, is a big bodied, 6'8 260 lb, power forward.
Prior to transferring, Jacobs averaged 8.4 points and 3.5 rebounds
for Alabama while playing 20 minutes a game. He, also like Mitchell,
shoots above 50% from the field, 52%.
Georgia Tech has two players on
their roster capable of serving as a traditional center. First is Ben
Lammers, a 6'10 sophomore.
Lammers played only 5.9 minutes a game last season though. The other
is the team's only true freshman, 3* recruit Sylvester
Ogbonda. They will give the
Yellow Jackets a couple options if they want to play taller. Taller,
not necessarily “bigger,” both Mitchell and Jacobs have heavier
listed weights than Lammers and Ogbonda.
Quinton Stephens gives
GT an experienced forward off the bench. The 6'9 junior played 18.9
minutes per game last season. He averaged 6.0 points, and 2.9
rebounds per game. He could serve as a backup at either forward
position.
Backcourt:
Georgia Tech's backcourt is
headlined by former Virginia Tech Hokie, Adam Smith.
Despite playing for the Hokies just last season, Smith is eligible to
play this season. Smith led the ACC in three point shooting last
season, putting in 42.4% of his shots from three. He averaged 13.4
points a game in just under 30 minutes a game. Smith will start at
two guard for Georgia Tech, and compete with Georges-Hunt for the
team's scoring title. Backing Smith up will be former 4* recruit,
Tadric Jackson. The
sophomore had a disappointing freshman season. He averaged only 5.4
points/game while shooting 27.4% from the field, and 17.8% from
three. Jackson has a lot of potential, and will be key for Georgia
Tech's future. However, he needs to improve his shooting if he wants
to receive more time on the court.
Georgia Tech's point guard is
redshirt sophomore Travis Jorgenson.
Jorgenson started last season, after an injury kept him out his first
year. He played 21.7 minutes/game, but only averaged 3.7 points.
Jorgenson shot just 31.1% from the field, and 30% from three.
Jorgensen averaged 3.3 assists, while giving up 1.8. The Yellow
Jackets have options at PG. Junior Josh Heath played
almost as many minutes as Jorgenson last season, 19.5. He averaged
4.3 points/game, 2.7 assits/game, and 1.3 turnovers/game. So, for
those of you paying attention,
Heath scored more points, in less time, with a better assist to
turnover ratio than Jorgenson. He also shot better from the field
41.2%, although worse from three, 23.1%. GT also has Jr. Corey
Heyward who played 11.8 minutes/game last season, but he shot even
worse than Jorgenson and Heath, which
doesn't seem possible.
His field goal percentage was 30.8%, and he shot 18.2% from three. No
matter which of them wins the most minutes, the PG position will not
be an area of strength for the team.
Newcomers:
The biggest addition to the team
is shooting guard, Aaron Smith, a grad transfer from Virginia Tech.
He will immediately start at shooting guard, and could lead the team
in points this season. He gives the team something they lacked last
season, an elite outside shooter. Another transfer, Nick Jacobs, will
also likely start. Georgia Tech has one freshman, Sylvester Ogbonda,
who gives the team a little more size. Finally, a third transfer,
James White, is another 6'8 forward who gives the team additional
depth in the frontcourt.
Outlook:
Georgia Tech has a great 1-2-3 in
big man, Charles Mitchell, swingman, Marcus Georges-Hunt, and
shooting guard, Adam Smith. Each of those player's could be starters
on a team capable of making a tournament run. However, there is
little to like on this team outside of that group. The team will
struggle at point guard, and although the team has a lot of
frontcourt depth, they lack elite athletes, and could struggle on
defense with their lack of length. Georgia Tech's big three, the
GTBT, are all senior's
with experience playing in the ACC. They will guide the team to a
better record this season, even with the loss of key cog, DeMarco
Cox, and a poor freshman class.
Tier 3: Battling for a Berth
11. Wake
Forest 8-10 (5-13)
Frontcourt:
Wake Forest returns three forwards
who played more than 20 minutes a game last season, and only lose one
frontcourt player who played more than fifteen minutes a game, Darius
Leonard.
Devin Thomas
will once again lead the unit. The 6'9 255lb senior is a
stereotypical, old school power forward. He averaged 12.0 points and
8.8 rebounds per game, while shooting 49.5% from the floor. He has
been very consistent through his first three seasons, both scoring
and rebounding, and has improved his points per game each year.
Thomas will be one of the ACC's best power forwards, and could
averaged a double-double this season.
Dinos Mitoglou was
a pleasant surprise for Wake Forest last season. As a freshman
Mitoglou averaged just under 10 points per game, while shooting 38.5%
from three. He is a great asset to the Demon Deacons as a stretch
four, opening up the inside for Devin Thomas. Mitoglou could see time
at either forward position this season. Wake Forest will have the
luxury of either starting three forwards, or playing big by moving
Mitoglou to the three in favor of centers, Doral Moore or Andre
Washington.
The final forward to play more
than 20 minutes last season is Cornelius Hudson.
Hudson, a 6'6 sophomore, averaged 7.5 points and 3.1 rebounds in 21.9
minutes a game last season. He is a shooter, but only shot 31.9% from
three, and 35.8% overall. He will need to improve those numbers if he
wants to increase his role this season. Hudson may be best utilized
coming off the bench, where he could be inserted to play at either
wing position. .
George McClinton,
a long 6'7 sophomore, is another option at small forward. He is not
the scorer that Hudson is, scoring only 3.4 points a game last
season, albeit playing only 14.6 minutes a game, and does not shoot
from outside. He does rebound at a higher clip though, and
contributes more on the defensive end. McClinton gives the team a
little more grit at the three.
The best option for Wake Forest
may be, as previously alluded to, allowing Devin Thomas to play as a
natural PF, moving Mitoglou to SF, and inserting 7' freshman Doral
Moore into the middle.
Scout.com assesses him as a 4* recruit, landing just outside their
top 100. They say he can be a top shot blocker due to his size and
long arms, and also say he has a nice skill set on offense with the
ability to score inside and can knock down a mid range jumper. His
body is not ready to bang in the post yet, but he could be a real
asset on defense. He could also contribute on the offensive end as
Mitoglou draws defenders outside, and Devin Thomas draws additional
defenders in the post.
Senior Andre Washington
will also get some minutes as a traditional center, but he only
played 4.9 minutes a game last season. He will receive more playing
time if it is determined Moore is too raw for the ACC, but if that is
the case, expect Wake to go smaller with their lineup rather than
giving Washington a significantly larger role.
Finally, John Collins is
a 3* freshman forward. He will get some playing time this season,
like Washington, and will be especially valuable if Moore isn't
ready.
Backcourt:
Wake Forest returns a solid
backcourt, led by star point guard, Codi Miller-McIntyre.
The 6'3 senior, averaged 14.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 4.3 assists
per game last season. Those numbers are comparable to those of NC
State's, Trevor Lacey, who was an All-ACC second teamer last season
(Miller-McIntyre was himself an honorable mention). Miller-McIntyre
is not an elite shooter, he shot just 28.4% from three, but excels at
putting the ball on the floor, and finishing on the drive.
Sophomore Mitchell
Wilbekin will start opposite
Miller-McIntyre. Wilbekin is a combo guard, who is capable of
handling the ball when needed. He was Wake's best 3pt shooter last
season at 38.6%. However, his field goal percentage was lower than
that at 36.3%. Wilbekin needs to be more assertive offensively this
season; he only took 6.2 shots a game last season, and averaged 7.2
points.
Both Miller-McIntyre and Mitchell
Wilbekin will be spelled by freshman Bryant Crawford.
Crawford is listed as Scout.com's 77th
best freshman. They describe him as a scoring point guard who uses
his speed and athleticism to create opportunities on the offensive
end. However, he needs to improve his jump shot. Crawford will get
significant playing time this season as the main guard off the bench.
Cornelius Hudson should also see some time at the two.
Newcomers:
This is a good freshman class for
Wake Forest. They have two four star recruits: Crawford, who will get
significant minutes off the bench, and Doral Moore, who has a very
high upside, and could be a difference maker. John Collins is another
nice addition, and gives the team additional size.
Outlook:
This is a better Wake Forest team
than last season's. They have no significant loses, and have added a
couple really nice pieces. They have a very solid core led by two
above average and potential All-ACC performers in Devin Thomas and
Cody Miller-McIntyre, and another two players, Mitoglou and Wilbekin
who could become ACC average or better starters in their second year.
Doral Moore is the x-factor for this team. If he comes into the
league schedule ready to play significant minutes, he could be a
difference maker for this team. They are set up nicely on offense
with Miller-McIntyre driving inside, and Devin Thomas drawing players
inside, allowing Mitoglou and Wilbekin to shoot. However, the Demon
Deacons' defense will be a big question mark. The team finished last
season as one of the worst teams defensively. If they can shore up
their defense, they could be in position to be one of the ACC's
biggest surprises.
10. North
Carolina State 8-10 (10-8)
Frontcourt:
Last season, NC State utilized a
forward by committee system. No forward on the team averaged even 20
minutes per game...which means, no forward played even
half the game on average
throughout the season. They return their top six forwards from a
season ago. So, it will be interesting to see how minutes are
distributed this year.
The forward who received the most
minutes last season was 6'9 power forward Lennard Freeman.
The junior averaged 3.6 points and 5.6 rebounds playing 19.5 minutes
a game. Freeman shot 44.7% from the floor, and only scored .18
points/minute played. This does not indicate a large uptick in
scoring for this coming season. Freeman is however, a proficient
rebounder.
Next in minutes was 6'9 BeeJay
Anya who averaged 19.4 minutes
a game. Anya scored 4.5 points and 4.3 rebounds a game. Most
importantly though, Anya led the ACC in blocked shots; he averaged
2.5 a game, and again, he did that while playing only 19.4 minutes a
game. Anya also shot an impressive 61% from the floor, although he
did so while taking less than three shots a game. So, do not expect
him to suddenly become a double digit scorer either.
Splitting time at the top two
forward spots with Freeman and Anya will be Abdul-Malik
Abu. The 6'8 sophomore has more
potential on offense than either Anya or Freeman, and could be poised
to break out this season. Last year, Abu averaged 6.4 points and 4.8
rebounds in just 19.1 minutes a game. His minutes should increase
this season, in fact, there is a good chance he plays more than Anya
or Freeman. He has a good mid range jumper, and will receive more
opportunities to score this season.
There are several options for the
Wolfpack at small forward. The carryovers are twin sophomores Caleb
and Cody Martin. Caleb Martin
was the slightly
higher touted recruit a year ago, Scout.com ranked him 66th,
while they ranked Cody
67th.
Caleb also received five
more minutes than Cody their freshman season. So, he [Caleb] is the
favorite to start to begin the season. Caleb Martin averaged 4.8
points with 2.9 rebounds per game, in 16.6 minutes last season. He is
also the better 3pt shooter of the brothers. He shot 30.5% from three
last season, but his reputation suggests that number will improve
with more playing time. Cody Martin
is a little more of an interior player, and does not shoot from
outside. Last season he averaged 3.4 points and 2 rebounds per game.
They're both limited to the small forward position due to their
height, 6'6, and Caleb could even find minutes at the two if NC State
wants to play big.
The dark horse in the battle for
minutes at the three is reclassified freshman Maverick
Rowan. Rowan is ranked 37th
among freshman according to Scout.com. Scout.com's Rob Harrington
lists Rowan's jump shot as his primary strength, saying he “possesses
outstanding range with a quick release.” Harrington also says Rowan
is a “fine handler and passer who punishes defenders who close out
to aggressively.” Rowan's weakness will be on the defensive end,
because although he has great length for a wing, he lacks great
athleticism. Rowan will play at both wing positions, and will play
plenty alongside either Martin brother.
Backcourt: North Carolina
State lost star guard Trevor Lacey this offseason. Lacey leaves a big
void at shooting guard. He averaged 15.7 points, 4.6 rebounds, and
3.5 assists per game last season, forming one of the nation's best
backcourts alongside Anthony “Cat” Barber. The Wolfpack also lose
another 12.8 points from former guard Ralston Turner.
Filling in for Lacey will be West
Virginia transfer Terry Henderson.
Henderson averaged 11.7 points per game two seasons ago, and shot a
solid 37.6% from three. In addition to serving as the starting
shooting guard, Henderson will also back up the point guard due to NC
State's lack of guard depth.
Anthony “Cat” Barber
inherits the starring role from
Lacey. Last season, Cat averaged 12.1 points, 3.3 rebounds, and 3.7
assists per game. He is capable of scoring from anywhere, and shot
38% from 3pt range. Barber's numbers will increase this season, being
the focal point of the offense, and will be one of the ACC's best
players. This Wolfpack team rests squarely on Barber's shoulders, and
will go as far as he is able to take them.
Newcomers:
The Wolfpack's two biggest
additions are transfer Terry Henderson, and 4* freshman, Maverick
Rowan. Henderson will start at shooting guard, and will be expected
to score alongside Barber. Rowan will be a big part of the rotation
and will get minutes at both shooting guard and small forward. His
ability to shoot will be valuable this season, and if he catches fire
he could really elevate this team on offense. Shaun Kirk
is a 3* freshman forward. He should see minutes this season as an
athletic forward who can run the court, and make things happen in
transition.
Outlook:
Make
no mistake, NC State will not be as good as they were last season.
Lacey and Turner are big loses, and NC State's replacements for them,
namely Henderson, will not make up for their absence. However, Cat
Barber is a star, and capable of taking over games. NC State could
also be more dangerous from three with the arrival of Rowan and
Henderson, and Caleb Martin receiving more minutes. There will also
be more emphasis on the frontcourt, and Abu will be needed to step up
offensively. This team is long, and should be good on the defensive
end as well. NC State's biggest weakness will be a lack of offensive
difference makers in the low post, and depth at guard. Small forwards
Maverick Rowan and Caleb Martin are likely to be the primary backups
in the backcourt, with Henderson shifting to point guard on the rare
occasion Cat Barber heads to the bench.
9. Pittsburgh
9-9 (8-10)
Frontcourt:
Pitt played without a true center
most of last season. However, this year they have added three players
who will compete for minutes at the center position. Rafael
Maia is one of two graduate
transfer centers; he comes by way of Brown where he led the Ivy
League in rebounds. In 30.1 minutes, Maia averaged 9.9 points and 8.7
rebounds per game, shooting 53.8% from the field. Maia is nursing an
injured thumb, and may start the season slow, but will be a necessary
contributor down low. The other graduate transfer center is Alonzo
Nelson-Ododa. Nelson-Ododa is
not the same scoring threat that Maia is down low, last season he
averaged 6.6 points per game, while finishing the season with a 45.2%
field goal percentage. Nelson-Ododa's greatest contribution to the
team will instead be on the defensive end. He will be the team's best
rim protector, and averaged 1.7 blocks a game last season. Both Maia
and Nelson-Ododa are only 6-9, and are not “true centers.”
However, the presence of either will allow Michael Young and Jamel
Artis to shift down to their natural positions. Rozelle Nix
is listed at 6'11 and 300 lbs,
and ESPN lists him at 300 lbs. He is a big guy, who could be a useful
asset on the inside. However, his conditioning is going to determine
how many minutes he plays this season.
Michael Young is
one of two frontcourt stars for the Panthers. He is a 6'9 235lb
junior who saw most of his minutes at the five position last season,
but should play more at power forward this year. Playing 31.7 minutes
he averaged 13.4 points, and 7.3 rebounds a game last season. He shot
an excellent 53% from the field, and was an All-ACC honorable
mention. Young should be freed up this season since the Panthers will
have more of an interior presence. Young can hit a shot from outside
as well, but not consistently, he shot only 29.4% from three last
season.
The other frontcourt star is 6'7
junior Jamel Artis.
Like Young, Artis had to play out of position as an undersized
stretch four, and should benefit from playing his more natural small
forward position more often this season. Artis is a true inside-out
player. He shot 39.4% from three point range, and his field goal
percentage overall was 46.9%. Artis played 31.8 minutes a game last
season, scoring 13.6 points, 6.0 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game.
Artis is a complete player and can be an All-ACC performer,
especially if he is able to play a majority of his minutes at small
forward, where he can use his physicality to dominate opponents.
When Jamel Artis sits or is forced
up to power forward he will be backed up by 6'8 jr. Sheldon
Jeter and 6'7 redshirt
freshman, Cameron Johnson.
Jeter averaged 14.3 minutes a game last season, but played much more
often down the stretch. He played 22 minutes a game in Pitt's last
eleven games. Jeter is an inconsistent scorer. He averaged only 4.7
points per game throughout the season, although that number increased
to over eight points a game during the final eleven game stretch.
Jeter's 3pt and field goal percentages are good. He shoots 37% from
three, and 47.5% overall. So, it is possible Jeter is primed for a
breakout season. Cameron Johnson played in Pittsburgh's first eight
games before getting injured, and missing the remainder of the
season. Johnson was actually utilized more than Jeter during that
time. He played 14.4 minutes a games, averaging 4.5 points. He, like
Jeter, is capable of knocking down a 3pt shot as well, he was 37%
from beyond the arc last season.
Backcourt:
Pittsburgh returns senior point
guard James Robinson.
Robinson has played more than 30 minutes in each of the last two
season. Last year, in 33.9 minutes, he averaged 8.9 points and 5.1
assists. He is a very steady ball handler, his assist to turnover
ratio last season was a little above 3:1, which is a great number.
Robinson is not a good shooter. He only shot 36.7% from the field,
and 29.6% from three. He does however, shoot well from the free throw
line, 83.3%. Robinson has nice size for a college point guard, 6'3,
and contributes on the glass; he averaged 3.6 rebounds a game last
season.
Pittsburgh will not have to use a
backup point guard too often this season, but 4* freshman Damon
Wilson will be groomed to take
over next season. He is big for a PG, 6'5, and is also a good ball
handler. Scout.com writes, he needs to work on shooting to become a
more complete offensive player.
The only major loss Pittsburgh
suffers from last season is that of starting shooting guard Cam
Wright. The Panthers will have two options to replace him. The first
is redshirt junior Chris Jones.
The 6'6 swingman played starter's minutes last season, averaging 27.4
a game—he started at
small forward behind Young and Artis—and
as a result is the favorite to claim the job. He averaged 8.5 points
per game, but only managed a FG% of 43.1%. He is alright from 3pt
range, shooting 35.7% last season. Jones will compete with graduate
transfer Sterling Smith.
The 6'4 shooting guard played the last three years at Coppin St. Last
year he scored 13.9 points per game and added 4.9 rebounds in 30.1
minutes. Obviously, Smith's numbers are a inflated due to the level
of competition he faced. However, Smith is the better pure shooter on
the team. Last season he shot 41.8% from three point range. Both
Jones and Smith will play significant minutes. Jones has ACC
experience, and started for the team much of last season. Smith,
however, could be a potent scorer with his ability to shoot the
three.
Newcomers:
Pittsburgh brings in several
players to a team that only lost one major contributor to a year ago.
Grad transfer Sterling Smith will have the biggest impact on the team
this season as a valuable three point shooter. However, it could be
fellow graduate transfer, big man Rafael Maia who starts for the
team. A third grad transfer, Alonzo Nelson-Ododa and JUCO transfer
Rozelle Nix will provide the team with depth in the low post.
Meanwhile, freshman PG Damon Wilson will be an important piece for
the future of this team, and will learn from, and backup James
Robinson this year.
Outlook:
This is a better team than the one
booted from the NIT's first round a season ago. Last year, Pittsburgh
had to play small and stretch out defenses with three or four
shooters, all of whom are 6'7 or shorter. The team was also one of
the worst Pittsburgh team's defensively in recently memory. That is
not how Pittsburgh wants to play. They want to play big and physical;
they are an old school Big East team at heart. This season, they will
be able to play bigger, shifting Young and Artis back down to their
natural positions. They also have added depth in the frontcourt, and
a couple quality forwards in Jeter and Cameron Johnson who have shown
glimpses. The backcourt is essentially the same as last season.
Pittsburgh has replaced Cam Wright with Chris Jones and Sterling
Smith. That is a fair trade. Pittsburgh is better, and will be
competing for an NCAA berth.
8. Syracuse
9-9 (9-9)
Frontcourt:
Syracuse loses it's two best
frontcourt players, and possibly their two best players—period,
from last season: Rakeem Christmas and Chris McCullough. Christmas
played nearly 35 minutes per game, scoring a team high 17.5 points,
9.1 rebounds, and 2.5 blocks per game. Christmas' season is in the
conversation of the best statistical season of any Syracuse big man
in the program's history history. He was an All-ACC first team
player. McCullough was injured early in league play, and afterwards
decided to leave for the NBA this summer. While he was on the floor
he played 28 minutes a game, averaging 9.3 points, 6.9 rebounds, and
2.1 blocks. Between Christmas and McCullough, Syracuse has lost a lot
of production down low, which will be difficult to replace.
Syracuse's season will be in the
hands...sorry, not hands—knees
of 6'9 forward DaJuan
Coleman, who was, once
upon a time, the 19th
best freshman in the 2012
recruiting class.
Coleman, coming off of knee surgery, will be counted on to start for
Syracuse in the middle of their zone. If Coleman is healthy, he can
be an enforcer in the low post, using his size, and strength to power
his way to the basket on offense. He could also be one of the ACC's
best rebounders. One of the biggest knocks on Coleman is his ability
to defend the middle of Syracuse's zone. He is not a stereotypical
Syracuse big, with long arms, and great rim protecting abilities.
However, he is what they have. Coleman could be a surprise player in
the ACC this season, averaging double digit points and eight or nine
rebounds per game. However, if he goes down, or if he is limited to
20-25 minutes per game Syracuse will struggle in the middle.
Backing up Coleman will be 6'9
junior Chinoso Obokoh.
Obokoh looks like a typical Syracuse center, long and lean. However,
he has little experience, averaging just 6.8 minutes a game last
season. Obokoh is a defense only player; he scored less than a point
per game last year. Despite being a defense
only player, Obokoh is
not a specialist like Syracuse has had in year's past, think Baye
Moussa-Keita, or Jeremy McNeil. So, the less he ends up playing, the
better off Syracuse will be.
The best returning frontcourt
player for Syracuse is junior Tyler Roberson.
The 6'8 forward started alongside McCullough and Christmas early last
season, before moving to power forward when McCullough went down. He
will return to the power forward position this season. Last year,
Roberson played 28.7 minutes per game, averaging 8.3 points and 7.6
rebounds. Roberson is an athletic forward, and is very good on the
offensive boards. He will benefit from an increased role in the
offense, and will become a go-to player. He has a better chance than
Coleman to average a double-double this season.
Playing behind Roberson will be
6'9 freshman, Tyler Lydon. Lydon
will play an important reserve role this season because Moustapha
Diagne, an athletic forward who was supposed to come to Syracuse this
season, was denied eligibility by the NCAA. Lydon, considered by
scout.com as the 69th
best freshman, is a stretch four. Scout.com describes him as a good
distance shooter, who will also be an asset in transition. His body
is not ready to guard ACC bigs, but then again, Syracuse uses a zone.
Lydon's length will be an asset on the wing, pressuring shooters, and
creating traps along the baseline. Lydon is an interesting prospect
for Syracuse due to his size and shooting ability, 3pt shooting was
an area of weakness last season.
Finally, Malachai
Richardson got the start at
small forward in Syracuse's first exhibition game. He could also
start on the bench, sliding Michael Gbinije to small forward.
However, Syracuse's best starting lineup will be the one with the 6'6
freshman wing. Richardson is scout.com's 29th
best freshman entering this season. Scout.com describes Richardson's
outside shot as “silky smooth,” and “effortless.” He is an
all around scorer, who can also use his athleticism to drive to the
basket when defenders try to cheat on the 3pt shot. Richardson's also
an asset on defense, where his length and athleticism will help in
the zone. He is also capable of moving to shooting guard, where he
could pair with Michael Gbinije at the top of Syracuse's zone. It
would be extremely difficult for opposing guards to get by that
pairing.
Backcourt:
Syracuse will be led by two
fifth-year senior guards. Trevor Cooney
played 37.3 minutes per game last season. Due to his excessive usage,
Cooney managed to score 13.4 points per game. However, he did not
shoot well. His FG% was only 35.9%, and his 3pt percentage was only
30.9%, while taking more than 7.0 three pointers a game. Cooney needs
to be a more efficient scorer this season. He has the potential to be
one of the league's leading scorers if he does. Cooney is a good
defender as well. Although, one of Syracuse's smaller
guards, he's 6'4, he has active hands at the top of the zone,
averaging 1.8 steals per game last season.
Michael Gbinije
is going to be Syracuse's most important player this season. He is a
6'7 wing who will spend most of his minutes at point guard this
season. Gbinije played 35.0 minutes a game last season, with 12.7
points, 5.0 rebounds, and 3.6 assists per game. Gbinije needs to cut
down his turnovers now that he will be the team's primary ball
carrier, he averaged 2.1 a game his junior season. The silent G-man
could become Syracuse's leading scorer this season due to his ability
to drive to the basket, and shoot from outside. His 39.2 3pt % led
the team a season ago. It will also help that Syracuse has more
players capable of shooting from outside this season, giving him more
space to drive. Gbinije, like Cooney is a good defender. He will
defend both on the wing, and up top. Either way his long arms, and
quick hands will help him create steals. Last season, he averaged 1.9
a game.
Sophomore Kaleb Joseph
is the only true point guard on
the roster. He will likely have a reduced role coming off the bench
this season than he did a year ago, when he played 27.3 minutes a
game. Joseph scored 5.9 points, and averaged 2.2 rebounds, and 3.8
assists per game, but he also turned the ball over 2.3 times a game.
Jospeh was not a good shooter last season, his field goal percentage
was just 37.6% last season, shooting only 20% from 3pt range. Joseph
does have a lot of potential as a driving point guard, though; he was
a top-50 recruit just a season ago. Syracuse hopes a season on the
bench will help him grow, or motivate him to make the most of his
minutes. It is also likely that Kaleb Jospeh joins a popular club of
Syracuse guards who are quickly pulled from games after a single
mistake, and spend the remainder of the game seated beside Jim
Boeheim.
Franklin Howard
will be the other backup guard. The 6'5 freshman is capable of
playing both guard positions. He is a third top-100 recruit for
Syracuse this season, ranked 86th
by scout.com. They list his passing, versatility, and basketball IQ
as strengths. He is also capable of hitting an outside shot, although
he is not as great of a shooter as Richardson and Lydon.
Newcomers:
Syracuse will require significant
contributions from their three freshman, as they lost their best
player Christmas, a talented forward McCullough, and also two
transferring role players: forward, BJ Johnson, and guard, Ron
Patterson. Malachai Richardson will start for Syracuse this season.
He could make an immediate impact on offense and defense, and could
be a double digit scorer thanks to his shooting ability. Tyler Lydon
will spell both forwards, while Howard will see some minutes behind
Trevor Cooney.
Outlook:
This is a very different Syracuse
team than the one that went .500 in the ACC last season. It is
difficult to say that it is better or worse. Last season's team
relied heavily it's big men. That production down low will not be
duplicated this season. Instead, the focus of this team will be the
backcourt. Cooney and Gbinije give the team two veteran guards who
could score fifteen or more points a night. Syracuse will shoot much
better from 3pt range as well. They have added shooters in freshman
Malachai Richardson and Tyler Lydon, who will stretch opposing
defenses. Syracuse will also rebound the ball well, and have two good
forwards, who could also be double digits scorers, in DaJuan Coleman
and Tyler Roberson. The biggest question for this team will be
defending in the low post; they lack a true rim protector like they
have relied on in recent years. They also lack frontcourt depth.
There are very few players on the roster capable of defending in the
paint, and they will have to play small at times, with 6'8 Roberson
moving into the middle. This is an interesting Syracuse team, even if
not a great one. They should finish league play around .500 again,
and compete for a trip back to the NCAA tournament.
Tier 2: Definitely Dancing
7. Louisville
10-8 (12-6)
Frontcourt:
Chinanu Onuaku and Mangok
Mathiang combined to start 35
games last season, but both failed to average 20 minutes a game. Both
will have an increased role as they try to fill the void left by
Montrezl Harrell. Onuaku and Mathiang put up similar numbers a year
ago; they scored 3.0 and 2.6 points per game, 4.6 and 4.7 rebounds,
and 1.2 and 1.4 blocks per game, respectively. Neither are going to
light up the scoreboard this season, but they are good low post
defenders, and rebounders. They have enough size, they're both a long
6'10, and athleticism to play the five and four together.
Onuaku and Mathiang will be backed
up at the center position by 7'0 sophomores, Matz Stockman
and Anas Mahmoud.
Meanwhile, 6'9 sophomore Jaylen Johnson and
top-50 recruit Raymond
Spalding will come off the
bench to play power forward. Stockman and Johnson were 4* recruits a
season ago, but both averaged five minutes or less last year.
Spalding has a ton of potential, but is still very raw, and he will
likely play sparingly this season.
The small forward position will be
occupied by 6'6 Drexler graduate transfer, Damion Lee.
Last season, Lee finished fourth in points scored in Div. 1
basketball, averaging 21.4 points. He can score from anywhere,
shooting 38.5% from three, but also driving to the basket, and
getting to the free throw line. He averaged more than seven free
throws a game, and shot 88.7% from there. Lee will be Louisville's
leading scorer, and should see the lion's share of minutes at the
three, occasionally sliding down to shooting guard.
Incoming freshman, 6'7 Deng
Adel, will spell Damion Lee. He
is ranked by scout.com as the 23rd
best freshman this season. They describe him as both a great shooter,
capable of knocking down threes, and a great athlete, who uses his
athleticism to get to the rim as well. His size and athleticism also
make him a good rebounder, and he has the tools to play good defense
as well. His toolset will make it difficult for Louisville to keep
him off the court.
Backcourt:
Quentin Snider returns at
point guard, he took the position over last year when Chris Jones was
dismissed. Snider is Lousiville's returning leading scorer,
averaging—an
impressive, 4.1—points.
However, upon entering the starting lineup, Snider scored double
figures in five of Louisville's final eight games. Snider is not a
shooter; his 3pt % was only 28.4%, with an overall field goal % of
34.9%. He will also need to be a steadier ball handler; his assist to
turnover ratio was below 1.5:1. Snider will need to grow this season,
because there is not a natural point guard behind him.
Two newcomers will fill in at
shooting guard. The first is Cleveland State graduate transfer Trey
Lewis. Lewis is an exceptional
shooter. He shot 42.3% from three a season ago, and it is likely he
starts for the team due to his experience and ability to score. Lewis
will likely slide over to PG when Snider heads to the bench.
Although he may not be the
starter, freshman Donovan Mitchell will
have a significant role with the team. Mitchell is scout.com's 17th
best freshman coming into the season. They write, he likes to drive
the ball straight to the rim utilizing his strength and athleticism.
Also, he has improved his jump shot, making him a threat from outside
as well. Mitchell is also capable of being a very good defender,
thanks to his size and athleticism. He is an exciting two-way
prospect who should aid the team right away.
Newcomers:
Lousiville will likely start two
graduate transfers: Damion Lee and Trey Lewis, and the duo could lead
Louisville in points this season. They will rely heavily on 5*
freshmen Donovan Mitchell and Deng Adel. Two more freshman, 4* PF
Raymond Spalding, and 3* SG Ryan McMahon
should receive minutes, and Spalding has huge potential, but they
will not be consistent rotation players.
Outlook:
This is a changed team from the
one that nearly advanced to the Final Four a season ago. They have
lost four players who played more than 30 minutes a game, and those
same four players all scored in double figures. That is an enormous
amount of production to lose. In fact, no team, but Duke, lost more
than Louisville did this summer. Still, Louisville has reloaded with
a fantastic recruiting class, which includes three top-50 players,
and two graduate transfers with the ability to start right away.
Louisville will play good defense, with a frontcourt loaded with size
and athletes. Mathiang and Onuaku are both good rim protectors as
well. Louisville will also be aided by a couple of really good 3pt
shooters this season. Louisville will also start three players with
limited offensive potential, however, Mathiang, Onuaku, and Snider.
6. Miami
11-7 (10-8)
Frontcourt:
Miami has one of the best
returning big men in the ACC, 7'0 senior, Tonye Jekiri.
Jekiri, who was second only to Rakeem Christmas in last year's Most
Improved Player voting, can be a force on offense and defense. He
scored 8.6 points a game last year, with a FG% of 50%. He was also
the ACC's leading rebounder, averaging 9.9 a game, and he blocked 1.4
shots a game just for good measure. At the end of the season, Jekiri
was voted to the ACC's All-Defense Team. Jekiri is a good all-around
big man, who could lead the ACC in double-doubles this year. Jekiri
averaged more than 30 minutes a game last season, but when he does
have to sit he will be backed up by 3* freshman Ebuka Izundu.
Senior Ivan Cruz Uceda,
and transfer jr. Kamari Murphy
will compete for minutes at power forward. Uceda started six games
for Miami a season ago. He is a stretch four, two thirds of his shots
were 3 pointers last year, and he shot 33.9% from behind the arc. He
averaged 17.1 minutes/game, 5.2 points/game, and 3.5 rebounds/game.
He has good size at 6'10, and could shift up to defend centers when
necessary, in addition to playing either forward position. Kamari
Murphy is a more traditional power forward despite being smaller than
Uceda, he is 6'8. Two seasons ago, playing for Oklahoma State, Murphy
averaged 6.1 points, 6.3 rebounds, and 1.2 blocks in 25.9 minutes a
game. He also shot 53.6% from the field, and did not take a 3pt shot
all season. The presence of Murphy and Uceda will allow Miami to
tinker with their lineup up front. Murphy could get the start due to
his rebounding, and reliable low post scoring, while Uceda comes off
the bench where his versatility will be an asset.
6'6 junior guard, Davon Reed, will
occupy the three position for Miami this season, but when they decide
to play big they can turn to either Uceda or 3* freshman Anthony
Lawrence.
Backcourt:
Miami's best player will once
again be 6'5 senior, Sheldon McClellan.
McClellan was an All-ACC honorable mention last year, averaging 33.6
minutes, 14.5 points, and 4.7 rebounds per game. He is a threat to
lead the ACC in points scored this season; he finished eleventh a
year ago, but only one of the players ahead of him also returns this
season. McClellan is best driving to the basket, using his size and
athleticism, but he can also hit a 3pt shot when needed. He shot
35.8% from three last season, and his overall field goal percentage
was 48.4%. Sheldon also shoots well from the free throw line, 82.4%,
and gets there often due to his aggressive offensive game.
Miami will be guided by their
senior point guard, Angel Rodriguez.
Rodriguez was Miami's second leading scorer last season; he averaged
11.9 points a game. Despite this, Rodriguez only shot 33.7% from the
field, and 30.4% from three. He also received a lot of his points
from the free throw line, taking almost five shots there each game.
Rodriguez averaged 3.9 assists a game, but also turned the ball over
2.3 times a game. Rodriguez is undersized, 5'11, which may hurt him
defensively, but he did average more steals per game than any other
returning ACC player. Rodriguez is a solid point guard, but his
scoring numbers from a year ago may be a little inflated. He is a
good compliment to McClellan though.
Davon Reed
is a 6'6 swingman who will play the three position for Miami this
season. He is listed by both ESPN and the Huricanes website as a
guard, so he is included in this preview as a backcourt player. Reed
averaged 8.2 points a game last season, adding 4.0 rebounds, and 1.9
assists. Despite averaging less than double digit points a game, the
junior is an efficient scorer; he shot 45.7% from three last season
and 47.0% overall. Reed improved a lot between his freshman and
sophomore season, he shot 10% better both from three and overall, and
he will be looking to take the next step this season.
Two sophomores, and former 4*
recruits, will serve as the backup guards. Both Ja'Quan
Newton and James
Palmer played less than 15
minutes a game last season (13.5 and 13.3 respectively), averaging
less than 5 points. However, both should see more playing time with
DeAndre Burnett and Manu Lecomte gone from last year's bench.
Newcomers:
The biggest addition to the team
is graduate transfer forward Kamari Murphy. He is a solid addition to
the frontcourt. Miami only has two freshman, Ebuka Izundu and Anthony
Lawrence, who will also provide depth up front.
Outlook:
Miami is looking to take the next
step towards the top of the ACC, after finishing above .500 last
season. They return all the key members of last year's team, and
added a nice piece in Kamari Murphy. Miami has a nice, balanced team.
Sheldon McClellan will lead the team on offense, and the backcourt
could feature two other double digit scorers in Angel Rodriguez and
Davon Reed. The frontcourt will benefit from one of the league's best
defenders and rebounders, Tony Jekiri, who will be joined this season
by Murphy who will add toughness, and versatile forward, Uceda. Depth
could be a problem for this team, as two unproven sophomores will
need to play important minutes in the backcourt, and they have
limited bodies down low. This team should once again finish above
.500 in the league, but will not break into the ACC's top echelon.
5. Notre Dame 11-7 (14-4)
Frontcourt:
Notre Dame will lean heavily on
tournament stand out Zach Auguste.
The 6'10 senior should lead the team in points this year. He averaged
12.9 a game last season despite playing just 24.4 minutes, adding 6.5
rebounds. Auguste shot a phenomenal 61.9% from the field last season.
So, with an increase in minutes and usage, Auguste should be one of
the top scoring big men in the country.
Replacing All-ACC third teamer,
Pat Connaughton, will be 6'5 sophomore Bonzie Colson.
Colson is a 6'5, 225 lb forward. Although short for a forward, Colson
plays with toughness, and is a good rebounder. He shot an impressive
59.5% from the field last season, playing just over 12 minutes a
game. He will not be much of a threat to shoot from three though, as
he took only seven shots from deep a season ago, making one of them.
VJ Beachem is
a 6'8 sophomore, and will get the start at the three for the Fighting
Irish. Beachem is a very good shooter, his 3pt % last season was just
a touch under 42%, which will help him improve upon his 5.6 scoring
average from a season ago. His combination of size and shooting
ability make him a breakout candidate.
Notre Dame has several players
between 6'6 and 6'9 coming off the bench. Martinas Geben is
the biggest of that group. He is listed at 6'9 255lbs. The sophomore
played less than 10 minutes a game last season, but will receive more
minutes this year as an important role player in the low post. Austin
Burgett is a 6'9 senior. He
also averaged less than 10 minutes a game last season, but will be
used this year when Notre Dame wants to play bigger. Junior Austin
Torres shot 68.6% from the
field, but took only 35 shots all season. He can fill in at the three
or four.
Two freshman forwards also join
the fold. Matt Ryan
is a 6'7 small forward who fits the Notre Dame mold—he can shoot
the three (and yes, he's
white, but you guessed that already).
Ryan is the highest rated freshman on the team; Scout.com lists him
as their 92nd
best recuit. Elijah Burns
is a 6'9 power forward who may have a hard time finding consistent
playing time behind the upperclassman this season. He could be a nice
piece, capable of playing physical basketball in the future.
Backcourt:
With the graduation of Jerian
Grant, Demetrius Jackson
is poised to become the star of this Notre Dame team. Jackson has all
the tools desired of a top flight point guard with great athleticism
and polished shooting. He could prove to be the very best point guard
in the ACC this year. Last season, Jackson averaged 12.4 points, 3.6
rebounds, and 3.1 assists per game. His point and assist totals
should grow this season now that he takes Grant's role—Jerian Grant
averaged 16.5 points and 6.1 assists. Jackson is also an efficient
scorer. His field goal percentage was 50.8%, and he shot 42.9% from
3pt range. Jackson only turned the ball over 1.5 times while playing
34.7 minutes a game last season, but that may increase a little since
he will be Notre Dame's primary ball handler whenever on th court
now.
Notre Dame returns another great
player from last season's elite eight team, 6'5 junior, Steve
Vasturia. Vasturia is a typical
Notre Dame wing—yeah,
that term again. He is a
great shooter, making 41.1% of his 3pt attempts last year, shooting
49.1% from the field, and also making 86.4% of his free throws.
Vasturia averaged 10.1 points a game last season, but he will have a
chance to score more now that Connaughton is gone.
Vasturia will be backed up by 4*
freshman, Rex Plfueger.
The 6'6 wing is yet another shooter, who will also be an asset on
defense. Plfueger will not be limited to backing up Vasturia, as
Notre Dame could choose to play them alongside each other at the two
and three positions.
Finally, Matt Farrell,
not to be confused with Notre Dame and Charlotte
Bobcat great, Matt
Carroll, will play limited minutes backing up Jackson. The sophomore
played less than five minutes a game last season.
Newcomers:
Notre Dame has a deceptively good
recruiting class this year. Although they do not have a stand out
star coming onto the roster, they add three good pieces who could all
contribute this season, and two of which should have important roles.
4* wings Matt Ryan and Rex Plfueger add to Notre Dame's collection of
shooters, and Ryan's presence will allow them to stretch defenses
even further than usual. Elijah Burns may need some time, but he
could be an important inside player when Zach Auguste leaves at the
end of the season.
Outlook:
There is no denying that this
Notre Dame team is worse off entering the season after losing their
two best players: Jerian Grant and Pat Connaughton. However, Notre
Dame is better prepared than most teams to deal with their losses.
They have three players who were very good last season, and are now
ready to become stars, and the leaders of this team. Demetrius
Jackson, Zach Auguste, and Steve Vasturia all played great in the
NCAA tournament, and averaged double digit points during the season.
Notre Dame also will be the best shooting team in the ACC. In
addition to Jackson and Vasturia, great 3pt shooters in their own
right, Notre Dame has VJ Beachem, who shot above 40% from three. As
well as two freshman, Matt Ryan and Rex Plfueger, who are also great
shooters. At any time Notre Dame can play four guys who shoot above
40% from three. No other team in the country, let alone the ACC, will
have that luxury. The problem for Notre Dame will be depth. They have
a lot of players who can be thrown into the frontcourt, but they
played limited minutes last season, and have a lot to prove. Notre
Dame should finish the season comfortably in the top half of the ACC,
because they have three dynamic players, but will be a little behind
the league's very best teams.
4. Florida State 12-6 (8-10)
Frontcourt:
Florida State has a stable of big
men above 7'0 to compete for minutes at center. None have separated
themselves from the others, so they should all rotate in. Michael
Ojo, a 7'1 senior, started 21
games last season, but still only played 8.8 minutes/game. He
averaged only 2.2 points and 2.4 rebounds per game. 7'3 Boris
Bojanovsky is another senior.
He played more minutes per game than Ojo, 16.4, averaging 5.1 points
and 3.4 rebounds. He also blocked 1.3 shots. At that rate, if
Bojanovsky had played 32 minutes a game, he would have led the ACC
with 2.6 blocks per game. Florida State also added a 3* freshman
center, Jean Marc Koumadje,
who is the tallest of them all, standing at 7'4. He will probably
need a year to get his body ready for regular playing time, but his
size makes him an intriguing prospect.
6'8 sophomore, Phil
Cofer, and 6'9 junior, Jarquez
Smith, will split minutes at
power forward. Last season, Cofer and Smith combined to score 13.1
points, and 7.4 rebounds a game. Cofer was a little more productive,
and played more, 22.3 minutes per game. Jarquez Smith was a more
highly touted recruit, 4* in 2013, and is bigger than Cofer, he
played 17.8 minutes a game last season, and shot better from the
field 50.3%, compared to Cofer's 45.6%. Smith is also one of the
team's best shot blockers, averaging 1.1 blocks per game. Together,
Cofer and Smith form a pretty reliable tandem at power forward.
Florida State has several tall,
and athletic wings who could be classified as either guards or
forwards, and will see time at the three this season. Montay
Brandon, a 6'8 senior, will
start at the hybrid position. He is a big player, 6'8 and 225 lbs,
who plays like a guard, and likes the ball in his hands. Last season
he played 34.6 minutes a game, scoring 11.8 points, and also adding
5.5 rebounds, and 1.9 assists. Brandon is not an outside shooter,
23.8% from outside last year, but shoots 54.1% from the field, and
should be bigger than most of the players trying to guard him. Behind
Brandon is 6'7 freshman swingman Dwayne Bacon.
Scout.com lists Bacon as their 19th
best freshman this season. He is the best athlete in the freshman
class, and his strength and explosiveness will make him extremely
hard to contain when he is attacking. Bacon can also keep defenses
honest by dropping a shot from outside on occasion. Due to his length
and athletic ability Bacon could become a phenomenal defender as
well. Bacon may not start, but he will be a dynamic player off the
bench, and he gives the team the option of playing small with him,
Brandon, Bookert, and Rathan-Mayes all on the floor at the same time.
Backcourt:
Florida State will be led by the
ACC's leading scorer (among returning players), redshirt sophomore,
Xavier Rathan-Mayes.
He played 34.7 minutes a game last season, averaging 14.9 points, 3.5
rebounds, and 4.3 assists per game. Rathan-Mayes can do a little bit
of everything for Florida State, and is a special player on offense.
However, there are some concerns. Rathan-Mayes took 5.3 3pt shots per
game last season, but was only 28.1% from that range. As a result his
overall field goal percentage was just 41.6%. Rathan-Mayes had a high
assist total, tied for sixth in the ACC last season, but also turned
the ball over 3.4 times a game. He will have to work on his ball
handling, and decision making this season.
Devin Bookert
will start alongside Rathan-Mayes. Bookert is capable of playing the
point for Florida State, but will defer to Rathan-Mayes when they are
on the court together. Bookert, a 6'3 senior, is Florida State's best
shooter, and their only consistent threat from deep. He shot 39.3%
from three last season, while shooting just 37.4% from the field (so,
he shot better from three than he did inside the arc). Bookert is
also a good free throw shooter, shooting just above 80% from the
line. Playing 35.1 minutes last season, Bookert scored 10.1 points
per game, 3.6 rebounds, and 2.6 assists.
Rathan-Mayes and Bookert have
several options behind them. Sophomore Robbie Berwick only played
10.9 minutes a game last season, but is one of the teams' few players
capable of shooting from outside. JUCO transfer, Benji Bell can play
either guard position, and was a NJCAA Div I All-American last
season. More intriguingly, Florida State will have two 4* freshman
coming off the bench. Malik Beasley
is a 6'4 shooting guard who Scout.com ranks as their 57th
best freshman. He is an athletic guard who likes to use his physical
gifts to get to the basket and attack. He is not however, a shooter
at this stage of his career. Terance Mann
is the other 4* freshman, he is 6'5, and another great athlete.
Scout.com describes him as a “power swingman” with great ability
on the defensive end, and grabbing rebounds.
Newcomers:
Florida State boasts one of the
best recruiting classes this season, which should give them a big
boost this season. Dwayne Bacon is the gem of the class. He's a
top-20 recruit, with elite level athleticism. Malik Beasley and
Terrance Mann should also find time this season as good athletes with
contrasting strengths. Florida State also brings in 7'4 center
Koumadje, who could see more playing time next season when the 7'0
seniors clear out, and JUCO guard Benji Bell, who provides additional
depth.
Outlook:
Florida State could be one of the
biggest movers in the ACC this season. They disappointedly finished
below .500 a year ago, but should surge this season, returning three
players who averaged 35 minutes last season. Florida State also adds
three great freshman who will make an impact immediately. Especially
Dwayne Bacon, who could challenge for Freshman of the Year, if he
receives enough minutes. The team could struggle shooting from
outside, and they could also struggle on the defensive end with a lot
of unproven defenders. However, there is enough size, and athleticism
on this team to be a great defensive team as well. There is a
possibility that this is an all-or-nothing season for Florida State.
There is a lot of explosiveness on this team, but both Xavier
Rathan-Mayes, and Dwayne Bacon could leave for the NBA at the
season's end. They will also lose starting guards Bookert and
Brandon, and centers Ojo and Bojanovsky to graduation. So, there is a
lot of pressure on this team to succeed right now. Florida State
could be one of the big surprises of the season; they have the
ability to take off on teams, with the depth to never let off the gas
pedal. They will be one of the most exciting teams in the conference,
and will finish near the top.
3. Virginia 13-5 (16-2)
Frontcourt:
Mike Tobey, a 7'0 senior,
will step into the starting lineup this season after averaging 17.1
minutes a game last season. In those limited minutes, Tobey scored
6.9 points per game with a field goal percentage of 51.4%. He scored
.4 points per minute, and at that rate would score double figures if
he played only 25 minutes. Tobey also added 5.1 rebounds a game.
Virginia's most important
frontcourt player will be senior, and a third team All-ACC performer
last season, Anthony Gill.
The 6'8 forward played 25.3 minutes a game last season. He averaged
11.6 points last year, adding 6.5 rebounds. He shot 58.2% from the
floor. Gill was leaned on last season when Justin Anderson was
injured, and that will be the case again this year now that he is
gone. Luckily, Gill responded well with the opportunity last year.
The biggest question mark on this
Virginia team is going to be who will replace Justin Anderson. The
most likely answer is 6'8 senior Evan Nolte,
who became the starter when Anderson was injured last year. Nolte,
who averaged 17.9 minutes played, scored only 3.1 points per game
last season. He also only shot 35.4% from the field, and 27.6% from
three, while taking 76 threes. Nolte does give the team added size,
and they are a defensive minded team, but he offers little upside
offensively.
Virginia has plenty of depth at
both the center and power forward positions. Sophomore Isaiah
Wilkins is an undersized, 6'7,
power forward, who only played 9.4 minutes a game last season. He was
a 4* recruit last year though, and should see more playing time this
season. Redshirt freshman Jack Salt
gives the team more size behind Tobey, and true freshman, Jarred
Rueter, is a 6'8 power forward.
The most interesting player on
Virginia’s bench is potentially 6'9 freshman, Mamadi
Diakite. Diakite just committed
to Virginia in August, and was initially apart of the 2016 recruiting
class. However, he has since enrolled, and will be a part of the team
this season. Diakite, now reclassified, is listed by Scout.com as the
nation's 46th
best freshman. Diakite is a good athlete for his size, who can
rebound, and block shots. He has the ability to defend all three
frontcourt positions. Diakite will likely need time to develop his
offensive game, and build mass on his slender body—he is listed at
6'9, and 195 lbs.
However, Diakite has huge potential, and will be able to help out
defensively right away.
Backcourt:
The backcourt is the strength of
this Virginia team. Senior Malcolm Brogdon is
the only returning member of last year's All-ACC First Team. The 6'5
shooting guard played 32.5 minutes a game last season, he scored a
team high 14.0 points per game, and added 3.9 rebounds, and 2.4
assists. Brogdon will have an even bigger load on his shoulders this
season now that Virginia's second leading scorer, Justin Anderson is
gone. Brogdon is a prolific scorer, but could stand to improve his
efficiency. He shot only 42.2% from the field, and 34.4% from three.
He is however, great from the free throw line, 87.9%. Brogdon is an
elite defender, and was the only guard to be named to the All-ACC
Defensive Team last season.
Virgina's starting point guard
will again be junior, London Perrantes.
He will be the key to the Caveliers' season. Perrantes has proven to
be one of the most reliable ball handlers in the conference. Last
season he averaged 4.6 assists per game, and only turned the ball
over 1.5 times a game. His 3.0 assist to turnover ratio was third in
the conference, behind James Robinson (Pitt) and Jerian Grant (ND).
Perrantes has not been a good scorer for Virgnia though. He averaged
only 6.4 points per game, despite playing over 33 minutes on average.
He shot only 35.4% from the field, and 31.6% from three. He needs to
become a more assertive player on offense this season.
6'5 sophomore wing, Marial
Shayok, should be the first
player off the bench for Virgina. He can play at either shooting
guard or small forward, and will likely find most of his minutes
spelling Evan Nolte this year. Shayok is one of the few decent 3pt
shooters on this team; he shot 38% from deep last season. As a
result, he will be given the opportunity to improve upon the 3.8
points per game he posted last season.
The point guard position will be
spelled by sophomore, Devon Hall,
who played just over 10.6 minutes a game last season, and Tennessee
transfer, Darius Thompson.
Newcomers:
Virginia has three freshman this
year, all 6'8 and above. Mamadi Diakite is the highest touted
freshman. He has huge potential, but just reclassified, and will need
time to develop his offense. Jarred Reuter and Jack Salt, who
redshirted last season, provide added depth down low. Darius Thompson
sat last year after transferring. He will provide depth behind
Perrantes and Hall.
Outlook:
Virginia has won the ACC regular
season each of the last two seasons. That streak will however, come
to an end this year. Presumably, Virginia is a team that is more
about the system than any individual player, and they return Malcolm
Brogdon, one of the best players in the ACC. Virginia will also once
again be a very good defensive team, but there are a lot of questions
on this team as well. But, Justin Anderson leaves a huge hole at
small forward. Not only did Anderson score 12.2 points per game, he
also was an outstanding 3pt shooter. He shot 45.2% from three. No one
on this team is even close to his level as a shooter. Anderson was
also a great, and versatile defender. He was the glue that made
Virginia so great, and even though they survived for a time without
him last season, they will miss him all season this year. The
replacements for Anderson will be Evan Nolte, and Marial Shayok,
which will make the small forward position a position of weakness
this year. Virginia will still be a good team, but others in the ACC
will move past them this season.
Tier 1: Challenging for a Championship
2. Duke
14-4 (15-3)
Frontcourt:
Duke has four big men who will
rotate at the four and five this season; Duke could also choose to
play small, and play one big man surrounding by four wings.
Interestingly, in each of Duke's last two exhibition games, senior
Marshall Plumlee has
started at center, and played at least 20 minutes. Plumlee played
only 9.6 minutes a game last season, averaging only 2.3 points and
2.4 rebounds. He is the tallest player on the team, and a co-captain.
Plumlee took only 42 shots total last season, averaging just 1.1 shot
per game, so his exceptional 76.2 FG% is inflated by a small sample
size. Still, Plumlee is a big target in the post, and could rack up
points and rebounds if he plays enough his season. Since, Duke is
extremely deep at center and power forward, even if Plumlee gets the
start, he will unlikely average 20 minutes played per game,
especially with the other players all possessing much higher upside.
Amile Jefferson
is one of two players who averaged more than 20 minutes a game last
season. Jefferson is a great contributor, and team player, who often
defers to others to make the team better. Last season, he averaged
only 6.4 points, while averaging 5.7 rebounds, but is capable of
more. His field goal percentage was 63.1% (he took three times more
shots than Plumlee, so his field goal % I more predictive, even
though it is lower). Jefferson will need to be more assertive on
offense this season now that Jahlil Okafor, an exceptional low post
scorer, is gone. Jefferson is a good offensive rebounder, defender,
and is Duke's other co-captain. Duke will benefit from giving
Jefferson more minutes this season.
Along with seniors Jefferson and
Plumlee, Duke brings two newcomers into the fold. Sean Obi
is a big, 6'9 270 lbs, transfer sophomore. He averaged 11.4 points
and 9.3 rebounds a game two seasons, while playing for Rice. His
field goal % was 59.1. Sean Obi, in addition to his physical presence
and size, brings proven scoring in the low post, and rebounding. He
could prove to be an underrated addition.
Duke has a six man freshman class,
which includes four top-25 players. Chase Jeter
is a 6'10 big man who can play either center or power forward. Jeter
is listed by Scout.com as the 15th
best freshman in the country. It would be ridiculous to ask Jeter to
make up the production lost when Okafor left for the NBA. He is not
nearly as polished on the offensive end, and his body is far from NBA
ready. He will need to fill out, and add strength to his frame before
he can become a physically imposing player in the pot. However, Jeter
does a lot of things well, can rebound, and will be solid on defense.
Jeter also possesses a higher upside than any of the other three
players he will compete for minutes with.
Duke's best player this season
will be a freshman once again this season. Brandon Ingram,
a 6'9 wing-forward. Scout.com lists as their third best recruit,
surged up recruiting lists this past summer after dominating
exhibition games like the McDonald's All-American game. Ingram has a
diverse offensive game. He can hit a jumper, and use his size to
finish inside. He is also an asset on defense due to his length.
Ingram will be a mismatch against anyone guarding him. Duke could
choose to play him at the four this season, like they did with
Winslow last year. Ingram is rail thin, and needs to put on a lot of
weight, but has the highest upside of any player in the conference.
Duke will go as far as he takes them this season.
Freshmen Anonio Vrankovic and
Justin Robinson will have a tough time cracking the rotation this
season due to the quality of talent ahead of them, and one or both
could redshirt.
Backcourt:
Grayson Allen, who broke
out during the NCAA Championship game last season, will be one of the
focal points of the team this year. He is the only remaining member
of Duke's 2014 recruiting class, as Okafor, Justice Winslow, and Tyus
Jones all left for the NBA following the title run. Despite only
playing 9.2 minutes/game last season, Allen was highly touted coming
into his freshman year, as a top-25 recruit. Allen has a lot of
offensive tools. He is a fine shooter, though not great, shooting
34.6% from three last season, and 42.5% overall. However, he is a
good athlete and ball handler, which allows him to aggressively
attack the basket. Allen will battle Ingram to be Duke's leading
scorer this year.
Duke's other starting guard could
be one of three players, two of which, are incoming 5* freshman. Luke
Kennard has long been apart of
Duke's 2015 class. He is a shooting guard in the Duke mold—a three
point sharpshooter, with good ball handling, and good basketball
instincts (oh yeah, and
he's white, but don't need me to tell you that).
Kennard is an elite level shooter, capable of scoring in bunches. He
is also a good ball handler, enough so that Duke may not start a
natural point guard, allowing Kennard, and Grayson to share that
responsibility. The other 5* freshman is a true point guard. Derryk
Thornton was initially going to
be a part of the 2016 class, but was convinced to reclassify once
Tyus Jones left for the NBA. Thornton was initially thought to become
the starting point guard, but he has started neither of the last two
exhibition games. Scout.com lists Thornton as their 11th
best freshman. They note that his biggest strengths are his
basketball IQ, decision making, and they say he is one of the
nation's best defenders. That is not to say that he isn't capable of
scoring. He is a good mid range shooter, who can also get to the
basket, and will occasionally knock down a shot from deep. Duke's
best lineup could feature Thornton, Kennard, and Allen, with Ingram
slotting beside only one big man.
Junior Matt Jones
was a big part of Duke's team last season; in fact, he became a
starter. He played 21.5 minutes per game, or more than twice as much
as Grayson Allen. However, he could see his minutes reduced with
Allen's emergence, as well as a deep freshman class. That said, Jones
could also retain his starting position, due to a solid all-around
game. He can shoot, making 37.6% of his threes last season, scoring
6.0 points/game, and also plays good defense.
Newcomers:
Forced with the task to replace
four starters from a National Championship winning team, Duke brings
in an enormous class. Jeter, Kennard, Ingram, and Thorton are all 5*
freshman who will be essential to a repeat effort. All have immense
potential, and it will be interesting to see how Coach K utilizes
them. They also have Sean Obi who is proven low post defender, and
two more freshman who will have to wait their turn.
Outlook:
Duke
lost more from a season ago than any other team in the conference.
However, they also bring in a freshman class that rivals the best of
Kentucky's recruiting classes. Duke will once again be a highly
talented team, with potential star players at every position.
However, it will take some time for them to find their place in this
team, and for the coaching staff to discover the best lineup. Duke's
season will also be dependent upon the development of both Chase
Jeter, and Brandon Ingram, especially Ingram. Neither of whom are as
polished as their counterpart from a season ago, Jahlil Okafor and
Justice Winslow. Ingram could be the best player in the ACC this
season, or he could struggle to find success due to his undeveloped
game, and thin frame. Duke is the deepest team in the ACC, and even
if Ingram and/or others struggle, they will challenge for the ACC
title.
1. North
Carolina 14-4 (11-7)
Frontcourt:
North Carolina has an army of
versatile forwards who can be slotted at multiple positions. Kennedy
Meeks will serve as the man in
the middle for the Tarheels. The 6'9, 265 lb junior could be the
second best “center” in the conference, behind Notre Dame's Zach
Auguste. Last season, Meeks averaged 11.4 points, 7.3 rebounds, and
1.2 blocks, playing only 23.3 minutes per game. He scored .489
points/minute, which is an extremely high rate, only teammate Brice
Johnson had a higher rate among conference starters last season.
Meeks has good size, and can block shots, but he still needs to
improve his defense.
Brice Johnson,
a 6'9 senior, is going to be one of the leaders of this team,
especially with Marcus Paige missing time early. He was the team's
second leading scorer, behind Paige, last season with 12.9 points a
game. He shoots a high rate with a field goal percentage of 56.6%
each of the last two years, but is not a threat to step outside and
shoot. He has not taken a 3pt shot in his collegiate career. Johnson
also averaged 7.8 rebounds, which led the team, and added 1.1 blocks
a game. Like Meeks, Johnson could still stand to improve on defense,
and needs to avoid getting in foul trouble. He averaged 2.9
fouls/game last season. Johnson's playing time will be dependent upon
his ability to stay out of foul trouble; North Carolina would
benefit from Johnson seeing 30 minutes or more a game. Last season, Brice Johnson was a Third Team All-ACC performer last year, but this
year will be one of the conference's best players.
JP Tokoto's surprise decision to
leave North Carolina for the NBA, he was ultimately taken with late
in the second round, leaves a hole at small forward. That position
will likely be filled by 6'6 sophomore, Theo Pinson.
Pinson was a top-20 recruit just a year ago, and could be the ACC's
most improved player. Pinson missed fourteen games last year after
breaking his foot. So, he played only 12.5 minutes a game, while
averaging 2.8 points, 3 rebounds, and 1.5 assists per game. He did
not shoot well; he was 26.9% from three, and 36.8% from the field.
Pinson is potentially a very good defender, which was an area of
weakness for North Carolina last season. Instead of starting, North
Carolina could choose to play smaller, and have Pinson come off the
bench. He would still see a big increase in minutes this season.
Despite the poor freshman campaign, Pinson was a top-20 recruit last
season, and seems poised for a breakout. He has played starter's
minutes, and shot well in exhibition games this season. Pinson has a
very good chance to be the ACC's most improved player—although
Duke's Grayson Allen will compete with him for that honor.
Justin Jackson, is a 6'8 sophomore swingman, he started at the two position last season,
and will likely start there again, although he could shift up to
small forward. Regardless of where he plays, Jackson will be discussed
in the frontcourt section of this preview, which means North Carolina
is likely to start four forwards this season. Jackson is the highest
rated recruit from last season to stay in college. So, justifiably, he is the best sophomore in the nation. Jackson averaged 10.7 points,
3.7 rebounds, and 2.3 assists per game last season in 26.7 minutes.
He was a fair shooter overall last year. His field goal percentage
was 47.7%, but he shot just 30.4% from three. If he can be a more
consistent shooter from deep this year, then he could be an unstoppable
scorer due to his length, and all around offensive game, as he is a
threat to drive, and pass the ball as well.
Isaiah Hicks is
an underrated junior despite being a top-20 recruit just two seasons
ago. He played only 14.8 minutes per game last year, but should see
an increase to those this year as he can fill in at several
positions due to his length and athleticism. Hicks is an explosive
player, capable of scoring in spurts coming off the bench. His field
goal percentage was 54.4% last season, while averaging 6.6
points/game. Hicks will have to control himself on defense. He
accumulated 2.5 fouls/game, while playing less than fifteen minutes.
So, he fouls someone every six minutes played.
Joel James
is a big, 6'10 and 280 lbs, senior who will provide interior grit
down low. He played only 10.1 minutes a game last season, and he does
not provide much upside off the bench. However, he is a necessary
member of the rotation because of Meeks and Johnson's propensity of
getting into foul trouble.
North Carolina adds two freshman
this season, one of whom is 6'7 3* forward, Luke Maye.
Maye is an undersized power forward, who will have a hard time
finding playing time this season with all of North Carolina's depth.
Backcourt:
It may seem North Carolina's
“backcourt” players are less relevant since this preview has
allocated four starting positions to their frontcourt, and only one
to it's backcourt. However, the lone starting guard is North
Carolina's leader, and still best player, Marcus Paige.
Yes, the 6'1 senior is going to miss at least a month with a hand
injury. However, he should be back by the time conference play
begins, at the latest. Paige isn't just North Carolina's best player,
but he is one of the best players in the conference. He was the only
player to average above 30 minutes, 33.2, for North Carolina last
season. He averaged 14.1 points, 2.9 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per
game. Paige is a good ball handler, and passer. He turned the ball
over only 1.9 times a game, despite being North Carolina's primary
ball handler, making his assist to turnover ratio above 2.5:1. Paige
is also a great shooter. He has increased his 3pt % each of his first
three seasons with the Tarheels, and last season he shot 39.5% from
that range.
Filling in for Paige while he is
out will be junior, Nate Britt,
and sophomore, Joel Berry.
Britt received a couple more minutes than Berry last season. He
averaged 15.3 minutes, 5.5 points, and 1.5 assists per game. Britt
improved his 3pt shot, shooting 36.6% from behind the arc last
season. Berry was
another member of North Carolina's incredible 2014 recruiting class;
he was a top-50 recruit last year. Berry played 13.2 minutes/game,
averaging 4.2 points and 1.5 assists. Berry also shot 35.4% from
three. While playing on the court together, it was Berry who more
regularly played the point guard position, and it would seem he is
the heir apparent once Marcus Paige graduates. It is unclear which of
the two will get the starting nod early in the season. They both
played in North Carolina's most recent exhibition game, because
Justin Jackson also missed the game. Whomever starts, both will receive ample
playing time.
North Carolina's second freshman
is 4* shooting guard, Kenny Williams.
Williams is a talented 3pt shooter, and should find playing this time
this season as one of the Tarheels' best scorers off the bench.
Newcomers:
Kenny Williams gives North
Carolina another 3pt shooter, which fills a hole for them. Maye
likely will not play much this season. However, he could develop into
a nice role player.
Outlook:
North Carolina is one of the early
favorites to become NCAA champion this season, and will begin the
season ranked #1. North Carolina returns everyone, but JP Tokoto,
from last years team, and there is a lot room for growth for the
sophomore class, specifically Justin Jackson and Theo Pinson. Meeks
and Johnson, meanwhile, form the most formidable scoring tandem in
the low post, and Marcus Paige is one of the league's best players.
Yes, Paige is injured, and will be out some time, but this may be a blessing
in disguise. Paige's injury will force young players like Theo
Pinson, Joel Berry, and Kenny Williams to receive more playing time
early in the season, which will pay dividends later on. Plus, Paige
isn't going to miss any ACC games. Will there be early season
struggles? Probably, but it doesn't matter. There are a couple of
question marks, to be sure. The team needs to improve on defense, and
the big men need to stay out of foul trouble. However, North Carolina
has huge potential on defense due to their size and athleticism; the
young players just need to mature. They also have a lot of unproven
perimeter shooters. JP Tokoto was their second best 3pt shooter last
season, while players, like Justin Jackson disappointed from outside.
This could be a struggle for North Carolina, but again, there is a
lot of offensive potential, and newcomer Kenny Williams shoots well
from three. This North Carolina team will never struggle to score.
Conference Summary:
The ACC should be more competitive this season than last. The teams that finished 1-4 in the conference last season, Virginia, Duke,
Notre Dame, and Louisville, have all lost significant pieces to their
roster, and are likely worse than they were a year ago. Meanwhile,
many teams in the middle of the conference have gotten better, Miami,
Florida State, Pittsburgh, and potentially Syracuse. So, the
conference should be less top heavy, and more balanced this coming
season, which makes for some very exciting basketball. The basement of the conference, Boston College, is really bad.
However, some of last year's bottom feeders are much improved, and
could make steady gains this season: Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, and
Wake Forest. Clemson and North Carolina State will end the season
extremely disappointed after performing well last year. Florida State
[though it pains me to admit it] will be one of the most improved
teams, not just in the conference, but in the country. They will
legitimately challenge Duke, North Carolina, and Virginia for a
conference title. At the top of the league, Duke and North Carolina
are two of the five best teams in the country. It will be extremely
interesting to see those two battle throughout the season. North
Carolina will not benefit from a big recruiting class, but instead
will be led by a core of sophomores who chose to stay in school. They
also have enough veteran presences to solidify the team, both in the
frontcourt, Brice Johnson, and backcourt, Marcus Paige. Duke instead
will once again rely on their freshman. After loosing their three best
players, all freshman, from a championship team, they bring in a
huge recruiting class with four top-25 players. So, they too have the
talent to win another championship. The ACC is a more balanced league this
year, however the teams at the top are still just as potent as ever.
All-ACC First Team:
F Zach Auguste ND
G Marcus Paige UNC
G Sheldon McClellan MIA
G Anthony “Cat” Barber NCS
G Demetrius Jackson ND
All-ACC Second Team:
F Kennedy Meeks UNC
F Brandon Ingram Duke
F Brice Johnson UNC
G Malcolm Brogdon UVA
G Grayson Allen Duke
All-ACC Third Team:
F Devin Thomas Wake
F Anthony Gill UVA
F Justin Jackson UNC
G Michael Gbinije SU
G Xavier Rathan-Mayes FSU
All-ACC Honorable Mention:
F Jaron Blossomgame Clem
F Montay Brandon FSU
G Devin Bookert FSU
F Marcus Georges-Hunt GT
C Tonye Jekiri MIA
F Michael Young Pitt
F Jamel Artis Pitt
F Tyler Roberson SU
G London Perrantes UVA
G Codi Miller-McIntyre Wake
All-ACC Freshman First Team:
C Chase Jeter Duke
F Brandon Ingram Duke
F Malachai Richardson SU
G Luke Kennard Duke
G Donovan Mitchell L'ville
All-ACC Freshman Second Team:
F Dwayne Bacon FSU
F Deng Adel L'ville
F Chris Clarke VT
G Maverick Rowan NCS
G Derryk Thornton Duke
Thanks to ESPN.com for statistics, and Scout.com, specifically
Evan Daniels and Rob Harrington, for basketball recruiting and
freshman scouting reports. They do a great job there.
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